Autonomous Vehicle Roadmap - Presentation

Source: SCIVESTOR

Summary: This presentation is being presented at RoboBusiness 2008. It highlights progress and challenges in the technologies necessary to facilitate civilian autonomous vehicles. We discuss a plausible technology driven autonomous vehicle roadmap from 2010 - 2030. The presentation highlights several emerging technology vendors including Velodyne, ibeo, Grey Matter, and TORC Technologies.

Findings: We present Renteria’s Hierarchy of Autonomy Needs - from Sensory Enablement to Basic Navigation to Business Logic. We discuss the fulfillment of these needs over the course of the three Grand Challenges. We lay out an autonomous vehicle roadmap and discuss key inflection points including: 1) The Cambrian technology explosion. 2) Adoption Hill. 3) The Plateau of Tenacity. SciVestor predicts adoption rates, reduction of fuel consumption, and vehicle deaths in 2020.

Authors: Ray Renteria and Jonas Lamis
Date: April 2008
Length: 32 pages
Research ID: O8R-002
Concepts Discussed: Grand Challenge, Urban Challenge, Autonomous vehicles, Prometheus Project, Stanley, Boss, Velodyne, ibeo, Grey Matter, TORC Technologies, roadmap

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